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waggle-os/gepa-phase-5/cost-probe-2026-04-29-summary.md
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# Phase 5 §0.3 Cost Probe Summary
**Date:** 2026-04-29T11:19:11.627Z
**Pricing snapshot:** 2026-04-29
**Branch:** phase-5-deployment-v2
**Endpoint:** http://localhost:4000 (LiteLLM proxy, matches Faza 1 runner pattern)
## Per-variant statistics
| Variant | Model alias | OK | Errors | p50 | p95 | max | mean | total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude::gen1-v1 | claude-opus-4-7 | 5 | 0 | $0.0239 | $0.0432 | $0.0432 | $0.0250 | $0.1251 |
| qwen-thinking::gen1-v1 | qwen3.6-35b-a3b-via-dashscope-direct | 5 | 0 | $0.0064 | $0.0176 | $0.0176 | $0.0075 | $0.0377 |
## Canary cost ceiling (per brief §5.4)
Formula: `canary_cost_p95_ceiling = 740 requests × max(p95) × 1.2 (buffer)`
max(p95) = $0.0432
canary_cost_p95_ceiling = 740 × $0.0432 × 1.2 = **$38.34**
## Verdict
**HARD-CAP-EXCEED** — ceiling $38.34 > hard cap $25.
## Probe spend (this script)
Total: **$0.1628**
Brief §5.4 probe budget: $0.30-$0.50.
## JSONL anchor
Per-request rows: `gepa-phase-5/cost-probe-2026-04-29.jsonl`