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waggle-os/benchmarks/probes/vertex-batch-eligibility/eligibility-memo.md
Oleg Maslov 0c3e2ead3b
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Vertex AI Batch Eligibility Probe — gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Date: 2026-04-24 · Target: PM-RATIFY-VERTEX-BATCH-ELIGIBILITY gate · Budget actual: <$0.02 (control job only).

Verdict: INFEASIBLE

publishers/google/models/gemini-3.1-pro-preview exists in the Vertex publisher catalog (REST GET /v1/publishers/google/models/gemini-3.1-pro- preview with X-Goog-User-Project: gen-lang-client-0674908699HTTP 200) but is NOT registered for Batch Prediction. SDK vertexai.batch_prediction.BatchPredictionJob.submit(source_model=…) returns NotFound: 404 The PublisherModel gemini-3.1-pro-preview does not exist. on both bare name and fully-qualified forms.

Control proof (plumbing OK)

Identical SDK path with source_model="gemini-2.5-flash" submitted successfully: projects/565729498549/locations/us-central1/ batchPredictionJobs/7779966002640453632 (state=PENDING). Vertex Batch maintains a batch-eligibility registry distinct from the publisher catalog; Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview is absent from the former.

SDK versions (audit)

google-cloud-aiplatform 1.148.1, google-cloud-storage 3.10.1, Python 3.11.9.

Consequence

Branch A (§1.3e fallback) closed. Stage 3 re-kick remains gated on Google quota ticket. Re-probe when Google adds 3.1 Pro Preview to batch registry; monitor Vertex release notes.