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waggle-os/benchmarks/probes/judge-swap-validation/deepseek-mt-comparison-memo.md
Oleg Maslov 0c3e2ead3b
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DeepSeek max_tokens 1024→2048 — Comparison Memo

Date: 2026-04-24 Parent: ae0d312 Target: PM-RATIFY-DEEPSEEK-PARSE-FIX

Parse issue: truncation_fixable

Metric mt=1024 mt=2048 Δ
Parse 5/7 (71%) 7/7 (100%) +29 pp
Agree w/ Opus (= verified-correct) 2/5 (40%) 1/7 (14%) 26 pp
Agree w/ GPT 3/5 (60%) 6/7 (86%) +26 pp
Latency p50 21.2 s 15.0 s 6.2 s

Both recovered NULLs (completion_tokens=1053, 886) and 1 flipped verdict (conv-50_q015 oracle-context: correct → incorrect) land on GPT-side.

Finding

Parse is TRUNCATION_FIXABLE at max_tokens=2048. But correctness regressed under PM's corrected metric — longer reasoning makes DeepSeek more GPT-strict, reducing its agreement with the verified-correct Opus reference on oriented splits. Gap in PM's decision matrix: parse improved + correctness regressed.

Spirit-of-matrix → MiniMax primary + Kimi backup. DeepSeek (14% correct) and Zhipu (0%) both fail correctness bar regardless of parse fix.

Cost: ~$0.05 (cap $0.50). Wall-clock: ~2.4 min.

cc1_state: HALTED