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waggle-os/benchmarks/results/manifest-v5-rpd-feasibility-check.md
Oleg Maslov 0c3e2ead3b
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Manifest v5 §1.3e RPD Feasibility Check

Date: 2026-04-24 · Target: PM-RATIFY-V5-RPD gate.

§Call Count Derivation

runner.ts:395-545 + failure-mode-judge.ts:245-258 sequential ensemble ⇒ 1 Gemini/instance. health-check.ts:106-108 ⇒ 1 Gemini/cell-ping. Tie-break Grok-only. Nominal = 5 × (400 + 1) = 2005.

§Isolation Verification

Grep gemini-3.1-pro-preview minus manifest/litellm-config → 7 dormant files (docstring, models.json:122 OpenRouter bucket, tests, eval, Tauri bundle, docs). Zero active callers. Defensive sibling rpm:20 applied (Fold-in 3.5b, d0ab680).

§Feasibility Arithmetic

  • Prior today 80; Stage 3 2005; today-total 2085.
  • vs 250 RPD: 8.3× over → INFEASIBLE.
  • vs 2500 pending: 83% (415 headroom) → FEASIBLE.
  • Tomorrow (reset 80): 80% / 2500.

§Caveats

Google RPD window may be rolling. Worst-case retry 3× → 6015; §1.3c PASS shows rpm:20 queues → retries dormant.

§Verdict

INFEASIBLE at 250 RPD. FEASIBLE at 2500 RPD. Re-kick gated on Google quota-ticket approval; PM confirms live RPD at Step 5.