""" §1.3h Judge Swap Stratified Re-Probe — split-case execution ============================================================ Executes 28 API calls (7 splits × 4 candidates) on the subset where Opus != GPT in the authoritative 100-row κ calibration set (`locomo-mini-n20-retry-2026-04-24T00-02-12Z.jsonl`). PM-amended (§1.3H-POOL-SHORTAGE OPTION 1): - Split pool minimum reduced 12 → 7 (use-all-available) - Budget $1.50 cap / $3 halt (reduced from $3/$5) - Wall-clock cap 30 min (reduced from 60) - Primary operational value focus: MiniMax direct routing E2E verification with newly-added MINIMAX_GROUP_ID Routing: - Kimi: direct api.moonshot.ai, kimi-k2.6, max_tokens=4096 - DeepSeek: direct api.deepseek.com, deepseek-v4-pro, max_tokens=1024 - Zhipu: direct api.z.ai, glm-5.1, max_tokens=1024 - MiniMax: DIRECT FIRST — tries api.minimaxi.com + api.minimax.chat with MINIMAX_GROUP_ID. Fallback: OpenRouter minimax/minimax-m2.7 if both direct variants fail. Scope discipline: manifest v5 anchor fc16925 intact; §11 frozen path untouched; no new LiteLLM aliases; no new Opus/GPT calls; additive files only under `benchmarks/probes/judge-swap-validation/`. Usage: python probe-script-split.py """ from __future__ import annotations import json import os import re import sys import time import traceback import urllib.error import urllib.request from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor, as_completed from datetime import datetime, timezone from pathlib import Path try: sys.stdout.reconfigure(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace") sys.stderr.reconfigure(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace") except Exception: pass # ── Paths + constants ─────────────────────────────────────────────────── PROBE_DIR = Path("D:/Projects/waggle-os/benchmarks/probes/judge-swap-validation") SPLIT_SAMPLE_PATH = PROBE_DIR / "split-cases-sample.jsonl" # ── Judge prompt template (verbatim from §1.3g probe-script.py) ──────── JUDGE_PROMPT_TEMPLATE = "\n".join([ "You are evaluating whether an LLM's answer is correct against ground truth.", "", "## Question", "{question}", "", "## Ground-truth answer", "{ground_truth}", "", "## Ground-truth supporting context (excerpt shown to the model)", "{context}", "", "## Model's answer", "{model_answer}", "", "## Your task", "", "Step 1: Determine if the model's answer is correct.", "- \"correct\" means the model's answer contains all required facts from ground truth, with no additional incorrect claims.", "- Minor phrasing differences, synonyms, or alternative but equivalent formulations are acceptable.", "- Extra detail is acceptable ONLY if it is factually correct.", "", "Step 2: If incorrect, assign exactly one failure mode using this decision tree:", "", "1. Does the model explicitly refuse or say it does not know? -> F1 (ABSTAIN)", "2. Does the model answer a DIFFERENT question than was asked (coherent but off-topic)? -> F5 (OFF-TOPIC)", "3. Does the model rely on entities, names, dates, or claims that do NOT appear in the ground-truth context (fabrication)? -> F4 (HALLUCINATED)", "4. Does the model correctly state SOME required facts but miss others, without stating any incorrect facts? -> F2 (PARTIAL)", "5. Otherwise (model states facts derived from the context but gets them wrong): -> F3 (INCORRECT)", "", "Step 3: Return JSON only, no prose, in this exact schema:", "", "{{", " \"verdict\": \"correct\" | \"incorrect\",", " \"failure_mode\": null | \"F1\" | \"F2\" | \"F3\" | \"F4\" | \"F5\",", " \"rationale\": \"one sentence explaining the verdict\"", "}}", "", "If verdict is \"correct\", failure_mode MUST be null.", "If verdict is \"incorrect\", failure_mode MUST be one of F1-F5.", ]) def ts() -> str: return datetime.now(timezone.utc).isoformat() def logmsg(msg: str) -> None: print(f"{ts()} {msg}", flush=True) # ── .env loader ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────── def load_env() -> dict[str, str]: env_path = Path("D:/Projects/waggle-os/.env") out: dict[str, str] = {} if not env_path.exists(): return out for line in env_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8").splitlines(): line = line.strip() if not line or line.startswith("#"): continue if "=" not in line: continue k, _, v = line.partition("=") k, v = k.strip(), v.strip().strip('"').strip("'") out[k] = v return out # ── Verbatim judge-runner JSON extractor ──────────────────────────────── def extract_json_body(raw: str) -> dict | None: if not raw: return None trimmed = raw.strip() if trimmed.startswith("```"): m = re.match(r"^```(?:json)?\s*\n?(.*?)```\s*$", trimmed, re.DOTALL) if m: trimmed = m.group(1).strip() try: return json.loads(trimmed) except Exception: pass first = trimmed.find("{") last = trimmed.rfind("}") if first != -1 and last != -1 and last > first: try: return json.loads(trimmed[first:last+1]) except Exception: return None return None def parse_verdict(raw_text: str) -> tuple[str | None, str | None, str | None]: body = extract_json_body(raw_text or "") if not isinstance(body, dict): return (None, None, None) v = body.get("verdict") fm = body.get("failure_mode") rat = body.get("rationale") if v not in ("correct", "incorrect"): return (None, None, None) if fm is not None and fm not in ("F1", "F2", "F3", "F4", "F5"): fm = None return (v, fm, rat if isinstance(rat, str) else None) # ── HTTP helper ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────── def http_post_json(url: str, headers: dict, body: dict, timeout_s: int = 60) -> tuple[int, dict | str]: req = urllib.request.Request( url, data=json.dumps(body).encode("utf-8"), method="POST", headers={"Content-Type": "application/json", **headers}, ) try: with urllib.request.urlopen(req, timeout=timeout_s) as resp: raw = resp.read().decode("utf-8", errors="replace") try: return resp.status, json.loads(raw) except Exception: return resp.status, raw except urllib.error.HTTPError as e: try: body_err = e.read().decode("utf-8", errors="replace") except Exception: body_err = "" return e.code, body_err[:2000] except Exception as e: return 0, f"{type(e).__name__}: {e}" # ── Provider callers ──────────────────────────────────────────────────── def _retry_call( url: str, headers: dict, body: dict, model_id: str, routing: str, max_attempts: int = 3, ) -> dict: started = time.time() last_err = None retries = 0 for attempt in range(max_attempts): status, resp = http_post_json(url, headers, body, timeout_s=60) if status == 200 and isinstance(resp, dict): choices = resp.get("choices") or [] if choices: msg = choices[0].get("message") or {} content = msg.get("content") or msg.get("reasoning_content") or "" usage = resp.get("usage", {}) return { "raw_text": content, "status": 200, "error": None, "retries": retries, "model_id": model_id, "routing": routing, "latency_ms": int((time.time() - started) * 1000), "prompt_tokens": usage.get("prompt_tokens"), "completion_tokens": usage.get("completion_tokens"), } last_err = f"status={status} resp={str(resp)[:400]}" retries += 1 if attempt < max_attempts - 1: time.sleep(2 ** attempt) return { "raw_text": "", "status": 0, "error": last_err, "retries": retries, "model_id": model_id, "routing": routing, "latency_ms": int((time.time() - started) * 1000), "prompt_tokens": None, "completion_tokens": None, } def call_kimi(prompt: str, env: dict) -> dict: url = "https://api.moonshot.ai/v1/chat/completions" headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {env['MOONSHOT_API_KEY']}"} body = { "model": "kimi-k2.6", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "max_tokens": 4096, } return _retry_call(url, headers, body, "kimi-k2.6", routing="direct") def call_deepseek(prompt: str, env: dict) -> dict: url = "https://api.deepseek.com/v1/chat/completions" headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {env['DEEPSEEK_API_KEY']}"} body = { "model": "deepseek-v4-pro", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "temperature": 0.0, "max_tokens": 1024, } return _retry_call(url, headers, body, "deepseek-v4-pro", routing="direct") def call_zhipu(prompt: str, env: dict) -> dict: url = "https://api.z.ai/api/paas/v4/chat/completions" headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {env['ZHIPU_API_KEY']}"} body = { "model": "glm-5.1", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "temperature": 0.0, "max_tokens": 1024, } return _retry_call(url, headers, body, "glm-5.1", routing="direct") # ── MiniMax direct routing with endpoint fallback ────────────────────── # # MiniMax direct chat completion has two known v2 endpoints: # 1. https://api.minimaxi.com/v1/text/chatcompletion_v2 (international) # 2. https://api.minimax.chat/v1/text/chatcompletion_v2 (legacy/CN) # v2 is OpenAI-compatible format. GroupId is passed as query param. # If both v2 endpoints fail, fall back to OpenRouter (§1.3g routing). _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE: dict[str, str] = {"chosen": None, "first_tried": []} def call_minimax_direct_with_fallback(prompt: str, env: dict) -> dict: """Tries MiniMax direct (international then legacy), falls back to OpenRouter on failure. Caches first-successful route to avoid re- discovering per call.""" group_id = env.get("MINIMAX_GROUP_ID", "").strip() mm_key = env.get("MINIMAX_API_KEY", "").strip() or_key = env.get("OPENROUTER_API_KEY", "").strip() # If a working route is already cached, use it if _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] == "direct_international": return _call_minimax_direct(prompt, mm_key, group_id, "international") if _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] == "direct_legacy": return _call_minimax_direct(prompt, mm_key, group_id, "legacy") if _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] == "openrouter": return _call_minimax_openrouter(prompt, or_key) # First call: try international, then legacy, then OR r = _call_minimax_direct(prompt, mm_key, group_id, "international") _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["first_tried"].append("international") if r["status"] == 200 and r["raw_text"]: _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] = "direct_international" logmsg(f"[minimax] DIRECT international SUCCESSFUL — caching route") return r logmsg(f"[minimax] direct international FAILED: status={r['status']} err={(r.get('error') or '')[:200]}") r = _call_minimax_direct(prompt, mm_key, group_id, "legacy") _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["first_tried"].append("legacy") if r["status"] == 200 and r["raw_text"]: _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] = "direct_legacy" logmsg(f"[minimax] DIRECT legacy SUCCESSFUL — caching route") return r logmsg(f"[minimax] direct legacy FAILED: status={r['status']} err={(r.get('error') or '')[:200]}") _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["chosen"] = "openrouter" _MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE["first_tried"].append("openrouter") logmsg(f"[minimax] falling back to OpenRouter for all subsequent calls") return _call_minimax_openrouter(prompt, or_key) def _call_minimax_direct(prompt: str, api_key: str, group_id: str, variant: str) -> dict: if variant == "international": base = "https://api.minimaxi.com/v1/text/chatcompletion_v2" elif variant == "legacy": base = "https://api.minimax.chat/v1/text/chatcompletion_v2" else: return {"raw_text": "", "status": 0, "error": f"unknown variant {variant}", "retries": 0, "model_id": "unknown", "routing": f"direct_{variant}", "latency_ms": 0, "prompt_tokens": None, "completion_tokens": None} # GroupId as query param url = f"{base}?GroupId={group_id}" if group_id else base headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {api_key}"} body = { "model": "MiniMax-M2", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "temperature": 0.0, "max_tokens": 4096, } return _retry_call(url, headers, body, "MiniMax-M2", routing=f"direct_{variant}", max_attempts=2) def _call_minimax_openrouter(prompt: str, or_key: str) -> dict: url = "https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/chat/completions" headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {or_key}"} body = { "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.7", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "temperature": 0.0, "max_tokens": 4096, } return _retry_call(url, headers, body, "minimax/minimax-m2.7", routing="openrouter") # ── Sample loader ────────────────────────────────────────────────────── def load_split_sample() -> list[dict]: rows = [] with SPLIT_SAMPLE_PATH.open("r", encoding="utf-8") as f: for line in f: line = line.strip() if line: rows.append(json.loads(line)) return rows # ── Runner ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── PROVIDER_FNS = [ ("kimi", call_kimi), ("minimax", call_minimax_direct_with_fallback), ("deepseek", call_deepseek), ("zhipu", call_zhipu), ] def run_provider(name: str, call_fn, sample: list[dict], env: dict) -> list[dict]: logmsg(f"[{name}] start — {len(sample)} split instances") out: list[dict] = [] for i, s in enumerate(sample): prompt = JUDGE_PROMPT_TEMPLATE.format( question=s.get("question") or "", ground_truth=s.get("ground_truth") or "", context=s.get("context") or "", model_answer=s.get("model_answer") or "", ) resp = call_fn(prompt, env) verdict, fm, rat = parse_verdict(resp["raw_text"]) row = { "instance_id": s["instance_id"], "cell": s["cell"], "provider": name, "model_id": resp["model_id"], "routing": resp["routing"], "http_status": resp["status"], "error": resp.get("error"), "retries": resp["retries"], "latency_ms": resp["latency_ms"], "prompt_tokens": resp.get("prompt_tokens"), "completion_tokens": resp.get("completion_tokens"), "raw_text": resp["raw_text"], "parsed_verdict": verdict, "parsed_failure_mode": fm, "parsed_rationale": rat, "opus_verdict_ref": s.get("opus_verdict"), "gpt_verdict_ref": s.get("gpt_verdict"), } out.append(row) logmsg( f"[{name}] {i+1:>2}/{len(sample)} {s['instance_id']:30} cell={s['cell']:14} " f"status={resp['status']} verdict={verdict} retries={resp['retries']} " f"routing={resp['routing']}" ) logmsg(f"[{name}] done") return out def write_jsonl(path: Path, rows: list[dict]) -> None: path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) with path.open("w", encoding="utf-8") as f: for r in rows: f.write(json.dumps(r, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n") def main() -> int: logmsg("[probe] §1.3h judge swap stratified re-probe START") env = load_env() required = [ "MOONSHOT_API_KEY", "MINIMAX_API_KEY", "MINIMAX_GROUP_ID", "DEEPSEEK_API_KEY", "ZHIPU_API_KEY", "OPENROUTER_API_KEY", ] missing = [k for k in required if not env.get(k)] if missing: logmsg(f"[probe] FATAL missing env keys: {missing}") return 2 sample = load_split_sample() logmsg(f"[probe] loaded {len(sample)} split instances from {SPLIT_SAMPLE_PATH.name}") if len(sample) < 1: logmsg("[probe] FATAL empty sample") return 3 logmsg("[probe] executing 4 providers in parallel (4 threads)") provider_rows: dict[str, list[dict]] = {} with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=4) as pool: futures = { pool.submit(run_provider, name, fn, sample, env): name for (name, fn) in PROVIDER_FNS } for fut in as_completed(futures): name = futures[fut] try: rows = fut.result() provider_rows[name] = rows except Exception as e: logmsg(f"[probe] provider {name} FAILED: {type(e).__name__}: {e}") provider_rows[name] = [] logmsg("[probe] writing per-provider JSONL artefacts") for name, rows in provider_rows.items(): write_jsonl(PROBE_DIR / f"{name}-split-responses.jsonl", rows) parsed = sum(1 for r in rows if r.get("parsed_verdict") is not None) logmsg(f"[probe] {name}: wrote {len(rows)} rows, parsed_ok={parsed}") logmsg(f"[probe] minimax_routing_resolution: {_MINIMAX_ROUTE_CACHE}") logmsg("[probe] END") return 0 if __name__ == "__main__": try: sys.exit(main()) except Exception as e: logmsg(f"[FATAL] {type(e).__name__}: {e}") logmsg(traceback.format_exc()[:2000]) sys.exit(99)