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Oleg Maslov
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docs/TOTAL-WORK-ESTIMATE.md
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# Total Remaining Work — Everything to Launch
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**Counted from:** REMAINING-BACKLOG-2026-04-16.md + HIVE-MIND-INTEGRATION-DESIGN.md
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**Date:** 2026-04-16
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---
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## Raw Item Count
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| Category | Items | Engineering Days | Notes |
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|----------|-------|-----------------|-------|
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| **Block 1: Marko's actions** | 10 | 0 | Your time, not mine |
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| **Block 2: Harvest real data** | 9 | 3 | Cursor adapter + imports |
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| **Block 3: Wiki v2** | 4 | 5 | Obsidian, Notion adapters, health UI |
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| **Block 3b: Compliance report** | 5 | 3.5 | PDF route, templates, full-page viewer |
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| **Block 3c: UX fixes** | 26 | 5 | 5 QW + 6 medium + 7 engagement + 9 a11y |
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| **Block 3c-R: Responsive** | 5 | 2 | Dock, status bar, chat, onboarding, windows |
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| **Block 3d: CLAUDE.md open work** | 2 | 0.5 | PersonaSwitcher redesign |
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| **Block 3e: Cross-reference** | 9 | 7 | MS Graph, light mode, KG viewer, binary build |
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| **Block 4: Harvest UX polish** | 4 | 5 | SSE progress, resume, identity, onboarding |
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| **Block 5: Memory proof** | 7 | 10 | Test execution (~$300-500) |
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| **Block 6: GEPA proof** | 6 | 18 | Test execution (~$1,500-2,500) |
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| **Block 7: Combined proof** | 3 | 6 | Test execution (~$500) |
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| **Block 8: Write papers** | 4 | 5 | Writing, not code |
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| **Block 9: Launch prep** | 8 | 5 | Stripe, signing, Clerk, hive-mind extract, binary |
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| **Block 10: Launch day** | 5 | 1 | Ship day |
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| **hive-mind integration** | 8 | 7 | MCP resources, CLI, hooks, installer |
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| **Strategic decisions** | 6 | 0 | Marko decisions |
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| **Content (non-code)** | 3 | 2 | Demo video script, LinkedIn posts |
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| **TOTAL** | **124 items** | **~85 days sequential** | |
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---
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## But Most Runs in Parallel
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```
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WEEK 1-2: Code + Polish (parallel tracks)
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├── Block 3c QW: 5 quick wins (0.25 days)
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├── Block 3c medium: 6 UX fixes (1.5 days)
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├── Block 3d: PersonaSwitcher redesign (0.5 day)
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├── Block 3b: Compliance PDF + templates (3.5 days)
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├── Block 3e-CR2: Light mode audit (0.5 day)
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├── Block 3e-CR3: KG viewer gaps (0.5 day)
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├── Block 3e-CR7: CLAUDE.md update (0.1 day)
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├── hive-mind: MCP resources + instructions (1.5 days)
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└── Block 2-1.6: BUILD Cursor adapter (1 day)
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SUBTOTAL: ~2 weeks
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WEEK 2-3: Harvest + Harvest UX (needs Marko's exports)
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├── Block 2: Import all platforms (2 days)
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├── Block 4: Harvest UX (SSE, resume, onboarding) (5 days, parallel)
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├── Block 3: Wiki v2 (Obsidian, Notion, health UI) (5 days, parallel)
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└── Block 3e-CR1: MS Graph connector (3 days, parallel)
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SUBTOTAL: ~1.5 weeks
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WEEK 3-4: Engagement + hive-mind + Proofs start
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├── Block 3c ENG: 7 engagement features (3 days)
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├── Block 3c A11Y: 9 accessibility fixes (1 day)
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├── Block 3c-R: 5 responsive fixes (1 day)
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├── hive-mind: CLI + hooks + installer (5 days)
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├── Block 5 START: Memory proof steps 1-3 (5 days, ~$250)
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└── Block 6 START: Task suite curation (3 days, $0)
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SUBTOTAL: ~1.5 weeks
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WEEK 4-6: Proofs (mostly test execution, burns budget)
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├── Block 5: Memory proof steps 4-7 (5 days, ~$150)
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├── Block 6: GEPA baselines + evolution + judges (12 days, ~$2,000)
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├── Block 9: Launch prep parallel track (5 days)
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│ ├── Stripe smoke test (needs M7)
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│ ├── Clerk integration
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│ ├── hive-mind source extraction
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│ ├── Binary build + smoke test
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│ └── Landing page final polish
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└── Content: Demo video script + LinkedIn drafts (2 days)
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SUBTOTAL: ~2-3 weeks
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WEEK 6-7: Combined proof + Papers
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├── Block 7: Combined effect test (6 days, ~$500)
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├── Block 8: Write Paper 1 + Paper 2 (5 days, parallel)
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└── Block 8.3: External peer review (Marko action)
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SUBTOTAL: ~1 week
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WEEK 7-8: Final prep + Launch
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├── Block 9: Final binary + signing + notarization (2 days)
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├── Block 10: Launch day (1 day)
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└── Post-launch: monitor, fix, respond (ongoing)
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SUBTOTAL: ~1 week
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```
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---
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## Summary
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| **Total items** | 124 |
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| **Engineering days (sequential)** | ~85 |
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| **Calendar weeks (parallel)** | **~7-8 weeks** |
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| **Budget (API + cert)** | **$2,650-4,000** |
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| **Blocked on Marko** | 10 external actions |
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| **Strategic decisions needed** | 6 |
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---
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## By Priority (what matters most)
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### P0 — Launch Blockers (must do)
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| Item | Days | Budget |
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|------|------|--------|
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| Harvest real data (Block 2) | 3 | $50 |
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| Memory proof (Block 5) | 10 | $300-500 |
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| GEPA proof (Block 6) | 18 | $1,500-2,500 |
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| Combined proof (Block 7) | 6 | $500 |
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| Write papers (Block 8) | 5 | $0 |
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| Launch prep — Stripe, signing, Clerk, binary (Block 9) | 5 | $300-500 cert |
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| hive-mind source extraction (CR-6) | 3 | $0 |
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| **P0 subtotal** | **50 days** | **$2,650-4,000** |
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### P1 — Ship Quality (should do before launch)
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| Item | Days |
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|------|------|
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| 5 UX quick wins (QW 1-5) | 0.25 |
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| PersonaSwitcher redesign (OW-6) | 0.5 |
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| Compliance PDF route + template (3b.1-3b.2) | 1.5 |
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| Light mode audit (CR-2) | 0.5 |
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| CLAUDE.md update (CR-7) | 0.1 |
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| Cursor adapter (1.6) | 1 |
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| hive-mind MCP resources + instructions (Layer 1+2) | 1.5 |
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| Demo video script (CR-4) | 1 |
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| **P1 subtotal** | **~6.5 days** |
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### P2 — Polish (can ship without, do soon after)
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| Item | Days |
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|------|------|
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| 6 medium UX fixes | 1.5 |
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| 7 engagement features | 3 |
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| Harvest UX full (SSE, resume, onboarding tile) | 5 |
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| Wiki v2 (Obsidian, Notion, health UI) | 5 |
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| Compliance full-page viewer + branding (3b.3-3b.5) | 2 |
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| KG viewer gaps (CR-3) | 0.5 |
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| hive-mind CLI + hooks + installer (Layer 3) | 5 |
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| **P2 subtotal** | **~22 days** |
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### P3 — Future (post-launch)
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| Item | Days |
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|------|------|
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| 9 accessibility fixes | 1 |
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| 5 responsive fixes | 2 |
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| MS Graph connector (CR-1) | 3 |
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| KVARK compliance template (3b.5) | 0.5 |
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| LinkedIn posts (CR-5) | content |
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| Mac notarization (CR-9) | Marko |
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| **P3 subtotal** | **~6.5 days** |
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---
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## The Honest Answer
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**To launch (P0): ~50 engineering days, ~$3,000, ~5-6 weeks calendar.**
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Most of that is test execution (proofs), not coding. Pure new code is ~15 days.
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**To launch with quality (P0+P1): add ~6.5 days → ~56 days, same budget.**
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**To launch with polish (P0+P1+P2): add ~22 days → ~78 days, same budget.**
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**Everything including future (P0+P1+P2+P3): ~85 days total.**
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The critical path is the GEPA proof (18 days) — that's the longest single item and it's on the critical path to Paper 2.
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