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benchmarks/results/manifest-v5-rpd-feasibility-check.md

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+# Manifest v5 §1.3e RPD Feasibility Check
+
+**Date:** 2026-04-24 · **Target:** PM-RATIFY-V5-RPD gate.
+
+## §Call Count Derivation
+
+`runner.ts:395-545` + `failure-mode-judge.ts:245-258` sequential ensemble
+⇒ 1 Gemini/instance. `health-check.ts:106-108` ⇒ 1 Gemini/cell-ping.
+Tie-break Grok-only. **Nominal = 5 × (400 + 1) = 2005.**
+
+## §Isolation Verification
+
+Grep `gemini-3.1-pro-preview` minus manifest/litellm-config → 7 dormant
+files (docstring, `models.json:122` OpenRouter bucket, tests, eval,
+Tauri bundle, docs). Zero active callers. Defensive sibling rpm:20
+applied (Fold-in 3.5b, `d0ab680`).
+
+## §Feasibility Arithmetic
+
+- Prior today 80; Stage 3 2005; today-total 2085.
+- vs 250 RPD: 8.3× over → **INFEASIBLE**.
+- vs 2500 pending: 83% (415 headroom) → **FEASIBLE**.
+- Tomorrow (reset −80): 80% / 2500.
+
+## §Caveats
+
+Google RPD window may be rolling. Worst-case retry 3× → 6015; §1.3c PASS
+shows rpm:20 queues → retries dormant.
+
+## §Verdict
+
+**INFEASIBLE at 250 RPD. FEASIBLE at 2500 RPD.** Re-kick gated on Google
+quota-ticket approval; PM confirms live RPD at Step 5.